Mortgage rates decline in the U.S. have decreased for the second consecutive week, with the average rate for a 30-year fixed loan falling to 6.35%. This marks the lowest level since May 2023, according to Freddie Mac’s report released on Thursday. The previous week, the rate was 6.46%, highlighting a steady and ongoing downward trend. This decline reflects broader shifts in the housing market and may influence buyer and seller behavior in the coming weeks.
Federal Reserve’s Influence on Borrowing Costs
The recent decline in borrowing costs is partly due to expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September. Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted last week that “the time has come for policy to adjust.” This statement suggests a potential shift in monetary policy. Market reactions are influenced by these expectations, impacting borrowing costs. Investors and borrowers are closely watching the Fed’s upcoming decisions. The anticipated rate cut could further affect financial markets and economic conditions.
The expected Fed rate cut is lowering borrowing costs, impacting markets and economic conditions significantly, according to wsj news.
Limited Potential for Further Rate Reductions
Despite the current decrease, mortgage rates may not fall significantly further this year. Ralph McLaughlin, a senior economist at Realtor.com, noted that the market has already priced in expected Fed rate cuts for September, November, and December. “We shouldn’t expect much further reduction in Mortgage rates decline unless unexpected economic indicators suggest a different scenario,” McLaughlin said, predicting rates will end 2024 around 6.3%.
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Homebuyers Confront High Prices and Declining Sales
Homebuyers are facing a tough market with prices nearing the record highs observed in early July. Redfin Corp. reported a 5.5% drop in contracts to purchase previously owned properties in July compared to the previous month. This decline represents the lowest level of activity since the National Association of Realtors began tracking the data in 2001.
Challenges in Home Inventory
A major challenge facing the housing market is the persistently low inventory levels. While the number of available listings has been on the rise, the growth rate has markedly decelerated. In the four weeks ending August 25, the total inventory of homes for sale experienced its smallest increase in five months, as reported by Redfin. This trend underscores the ongoing struggle to meet market demand despite the gradual uptick in listings.
Future Outlook for Housing Market
Freddie Mac’s chief economist, Sam Khater, observed that while potential homebuyers remain cautious, a significant rebound in purchase activity is unlikely until there are more substantial declines in prices and inventory. The current market conditions suggest that homebuyers will need to navigate a complex and competitive landscape in the coming months.
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